I moved abroad for a study exchange. Title: two or three words that give a simple description of your story, eg ‘old friend’ or ‘birthday coincidence’ is N/300. Yet most statisticians argue that unlikely occurrences happen frequently because there are so many opportunities for surprising events to happen. Meeting someone you know in an unexpected place on a trip away from your home district -- not somewhere where either of you would usually be found. However, most of these similarities are uninteresting, whereas By recording your coincidence stories here, you can help him build a picture of what kinds of coincidences are out there and which ones seem to ‘get to’ us the most. Coincidences tend to be ‘surprising matches’ – sometimes they are lucky, sometimes unlucky, sometimes just mind-boggling. The Hebrew date of her birth was Erev Rosh Hashanah. so 3 thousand of which would be randomly assigned to the same judge. as this humorous tale I tell in talks demonstrates. are rather disingenuous, and often unconvincing to others, Coincidence: tell your coincidence story - and please include plenty of relevant detail (places, dates, numbers etc.) By ticking this box you agree that your email address can be forwarded to Wingspan Productions Ltd, who are making a BBC television programme about Chance and would like to feature Professor David Spiegelhalter's coincidence collection. Now I have no idea what N is, but These particular numbers are made up, but make the point that an awful lot of "similar cases to the same judge" I kindly returned it :) and I was 37. I was assigned a room in a shared flat. "how wide to cast our net?" because there were effectively 17.5 judges (some part-time). My dad's dad died at 56 yrs old, my dad was 33 yrs old then - then please record your story in the form below! Email address (optional): please leave an email address, as then we can get in touch to find out more! meet each other in two given consecutive years. Chances are he would guess one of the three local exchanges - 372, 373 or 375 - and he blurted out 7 digits as he rushed by. I took my seat and a few moments later another person sat next to me. What is the chance that, in an annual 128-player single elimination tournament, some 2 players 1x credit card directly to my apartment is. My dad died at 56 yrs old , I was 33 then. about Scientific publication synchronicity, about I know when people will die but at the same time i dont its weird, about COLLEGE ROOMMATE HAS THE SAME BIRTHDAY, about Unexpected Money Postal & Found on the street, about Random phone number was the right one, I know when people will die but at the same time i dont its weird, Unexpected Money Postal & Found on the street, Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 2.0 UK: England & Wales License. A more relevant see where there is a group of 3 cases which are The math calculation is that the chance that 3 prespecified cases go to the same judge “It’s chance,” says David Spiegelhalter, a risk researcher at the University of Cambridge. Upon arriving, I discovered that there was a huge amount of mould growing underneath the linoleum floors– clearly visible but impossible to remove. When I met my new flatmate for the first time, we were both in shock: our features were disturbingly similar. The rationalist position is simply that there are a gazillion There were over 10,000 cases in the period of interest. Cambridge Coincidences Collection Professor David Spiegelhalter of Cambridge University wants to know about your coincidences! Some fun emails stimulated by last week’s essay on loss aversion in sports and everyday life pointed me to statistician David Spiegelhalter's Cambridge Coincidence Collection, which contains people’s 4500+ reports of weird coincidences. Several years later, completely coincidentally, I had become a clinical trials statistician myself. can be expected. some arithmetic shows that there would be around 1 million groups-of-3-cases with the same feature, analysis would be to go through the 10,000+ cases and Deadlines are always hairy in the newspaper business. and more types of "very similar in an interesting way" than one would imagine. Collections & Series Cambridge University Press publishes a wide range of high-quality and innovative digital collections, offering an invaluable resource for researchers around the globe. which never has a clear answer. Your details will not be forwarded to any other party or used for marketing purposes. my college roommate has the exact same birthday as me and year. You could also tell us about coincidences in the news, but please provide a link to a reliable source! very-unlikely-but-possible coincidences that might happen but don't, 1x my neighbor's cheque was sent to me. Please try to keep your story personal - about you or someone you know. This is some (small, I presume) number N, 1945,1949 and 1952. interest to an investigative journalist. and we can't aware of them all, we just notice the occasional one that does happen. and the chance that some group Mills argues that it is more complicated than this; the power elite is a holy trinity of coincidences between apparently dissimilar organisation. In doing so you agree that the producers of the programme may contact you directly to ask you more about your story, though whether you decide to help them is entirely up to you. In brief, when we observe something specific we can try to estimate the chance of this The professor, who is, by coincidence, a colleague of my future mother-in-law, also runs the Cambridge Coincidences Collection as part of his Understanding Uncertainty project. Cambridge Coincidences Collection I doubt that anyone could do a defensible quantitative analysis of this case, All of the information entered below except your email address will be published on this website when you press save. 2x On my daily walks, I found someone's credit cards on 2 separate occasions and I've tried to notify them on LinkedIn ( Both strangers kindly declined because they already canceled their credit cards ) The trial's results got accepted for publication in The Lancet in 2010. incorrectly attributed to Albert Einstein. Reviewing the draft I accidentally discovered the results of the phase-3 trial were being published in the same volume of the journal.                   "very similar" in some sense. Here it is hard to pin down what even the "specific coincidence" is. I asked to change flats and moved into another one the next day. Months after, while cleaning out her home, we discovered a sheet from the International Red Cross declaring that her younger brother, who was unable to leave Germany before the war, had died on September 11, 1942. An everyday type of coincidence reported often in the Our mother died on September 11, 1995, which has since become a national day of mourning. Kidding, I asked, "Chuck, what's the number I'm looking for?" My son was 37 when he died and his son was 19 and I was 56. In an extreme rush, I reached for the phone book to look up a source as Chuck was hurrying by. Why? We had the same hair colour, hairstyle and eye colour; very similar facial features, facial expressions, body language, and laugh. the FDA-tobacco issue is unusually interesting. As the flight was long we struck up a conversation. specific coincidence, but there will be some We are looking forward to bringing more of our collections on to Cambridge Core in future.